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Post by Deleted on Apr 8, 2020 15:32:01 GMT
The virus that causes Covid-19 is like a "wolf in sheep's clothing," it uses sugars to trick its way into our body. In the case of the coronavirus the lower shielding by sugars attached to it may reflect that it is a 'hit and run' virus, moving from one person to the next. Today every household in the country got a letter from Boris Johnson telling us to beware this enemy and OBEY the rules. He makes viruses sound like terrorists who at the moment are claiming huge numbers of humans on our planet. I decided to do some research on this apparent enemy of humanity. However humans and viruses are intertwined. Viruses gave rise to the first life forms and will control our lives for years to come. HELP!
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Post by benziger on Apr 17, 2020 20:30:39 GMT
The most dangerous/deadliest form of a virus will die with its host. In addition, humans develop defences and immunity. The problem, in my opinion (as a non-doctor), is if a new virus suddenly appears. When the Spanish flu first broke out, people died like flies.
But that's all I understand, Larika. If I believe our specialists, they still don't understand everything (that is why there are new news every days). But it's clear that the Prime Minister and the President are acting tough. First, they say that, contrary to their advisers, the Channel or the Atlantic protects their people. And then they realise that it is a bit more complex and soon elections will be held again. As a politician, they must of course use strong words (or they think it at least)...
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Post by Retread-Retired-Cameron on Apr 17, 2020 21:05:01 GMT
Not being a doctor or epidemiologist, but understanding the analysis to a certain degree, all I can say is politicians are not equipped to talk about new viral infections unless a virologist and / or epidemiologist is speaking in the earbud, or as Herr Benziger stated elections will be held soon... [When it comes to the Pandemic of 1918 I had relatives caring for the ill and burying the dead.] As of this morning [2020/04/17] the simple mortality rate for COVID-19 [not broken down by age group] was 4.96% for the US and 6.75% for the world. This means that for every confirmed case of infection a certain percentage of patients died from the disease. Divide confirmed deaths by confirmed cases to get the rough metric. An early reopening of the US to establish "herd immunity" [ 60% to 70% of the population infected and recovering], if based on a 70% infection rate would result in 11,214,280 deaths [best case scenario], and likely a far higher death toll as infrastructure from hospitals to medicinal supplies became quickly overwhelmed. Politicians should be honest, because those they "lead" deserve nothing less.
*** Yeah, apologies on spelling, I be weary. ***
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Post by benziger on Apr 21, 2020 23:58:41 GMT
An early reopening of the US to establish "herd immunity" [ 60% to 70% of the population infected and recovering], if based on a 70% infection rate would result in 11,214,280 deaths [best case scenario], and likely a far higher death toll as infrastructure from hospitals to medicinal supplies became quickly overwhelmed. This animated map shows the upcoming of SARS2 in the USA following official numbers of the states, collected by my newspaper and published on March 31st. As pictures do not need any translation.... I hope, you live somewhere in the white area.
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Post by Retread-Retired-Cameron on Apr 22, 2020 0:27:55 GMT
An early reopening of the US to establish "herd immunity" [ 60% to 70% of the population infected and recovering], if based on a 70% infection rate would result in 11,214,280 deaths [best case scenario], and likely a far higher death toll as infrastructure from hospitals to medicinal supplies became quickly overwhelmed. This animated map shows the upcoming of SARS2 in the USA following official numbers of the states, collected by my newspaper and published on March 31st. As pictures do not need any translation.... I hope, you live somewhere in the white area.
Didn't see the animated map, but the part of South Central Texas I'm in is close to a fairly large city. So far the county I'm in has had 15 confirmed cases and 2 confirmed deaths.
Being at risk, I tend to go in to get what's needed with a face covering, using a glove to pump gas then discarding, basically the glove and the covering are about the main changes to my life.
With a population of 15/km squared out where we are, apart from going to town social distancing is pretty simple. Since neither the spouse nor I have gone into the big city in months, and rarely hit the closest town of roughly 24K people, it's not so bad.
Once things open up, I expect the conservatives in the area will find out in a hurry it's not wise to downplay a pandemic; nature tends to be unforgiving of the foolish.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 22, 2020 5:35:47 GMT
I hope this works-------
"A drug that could help treat coronavirus is to be trialled on a small number of patients in England and Scotland.
The studies, which have been fast-tracked by the government, will initially involve 15 NHS centres."(https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52111674)
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Post by Retread-Retired-Cameron on Apr 22, 2020 9:59:23 GMT
With a bit of luck it will work.
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